Courtesy of Morgan Stanley, which has just issued a report on banks’ recent performance, we can now shed a little more light on the winners and losers of the past three months.
Derived from Morgan Stanley’s figures, the graphs below show Goldman Sachs was the big winner in Q2, substantially increasing its lead overall lead compared to Q1. Citigroup was the big loser.
JP Morgan gained in IBD and FICC, but lost out in equities. Bank of America/Merrill Lynch prevented further losses in market share with a strong performance in FICC. Deutsche Bank did well in equities, but lost out in its key fixed income market.
Morgan Stanley’s analysts are predicting that Q3 revenues will be down on Q2.
Longer term, Morgan Stanley predicts the most successful banks will be so-called ‘flow monsters,’ with large market share in core flow products – credit, rates, FX, commodities or equities, allowing them to offset margin erosion. The monsters include Barclays Capital, Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse and JP Morgan.
Market share, total revenues of investment banking businesses, Q1 and Q2 2009

Market share, IBD, Q1 and Q2 2009

Market share, FICC, Q1 and Q2 2009

Market share, Equities, Q1 and Q2 2009

US

and where exactly is Nomura???
I thought it was No.5 in cash equities by market share in Europe.
Hi Sarah, very interesting article. May I ask you what the title of this report is and its publication date ? Thanks
@DrFry – Nomura wasn’t included in the figures provided by Morgan Stanley. The data they provided was global rather than just for Europe.
@Michael – It came out yesterday, and seems to be titled Industry View In-Line Banks. It’s by Huw van Steenis.
@Sarah : Thanks for the information.
@ Michael – Thank you for saying thank you.
Without Nomura its kinda pointless popular science.
HI
I looked at the MS research and cant find the report.
are you sure about the autor?
Thanks
@Sarah, i think you’re cute
@John – Yes, it’s right. I just checked again and the authors are
Huw van Steenis
Hubert Lam
@The real Michael – I think you’re cute too.
is Nomura the new golman saches..?
yeah where the hell is NOMURA??